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Data Story

The €27.8 Billion Question

Fifteen years of Irish property data, re-contextualized against wealth, income, savings, and the real economy.

Ireland's housing market has become more than a place where homes are bought and sold. It has become a dominant channel through which national wealth, household savings, and economic expectation are expressed.

From 2010 to 2025, the data points to a structural shift: property transactions are growing faster than the real economy, competing directly with savings flows, and reinforcing a wealth model where residential property remains the core asset class.

This story tracks that shift through four chart views and three narrative frames: the wealth illusion, the savings eater, and the housing lock.

1) The Wealth Illusion

The Irish real economy, measured by modified GNI*, grew strongly from 2014 onward. Household net wealth also climbed. But property transaction activity grew faster than both, and far faster than consumer spending.

That gap matters because spending is the most immediate proxy for what households can actually deploy in daily life. Paper wealth can increase while practical purchasing power rises more slowly. In that environment, property can create a surface-level feeling of prosperity while real flexibility lags behind.

The key divergence in this period is stark: property transaction growth outpaced spending growth by more than one hundred percentage points. A larger share of economic activity is being routed through housing turnover, not necessarily through new productive investment.

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2) The Savings Eater

In 2022, the total value of annual property transactions overtook annual household savings. The crossover persisted in the years that followed.

That is not just a market statistic. It reflects the scale of housing as a social and financial priority. For many households, the primary act of long-term saving is home ownership itself, but the aggregate crossover still signals concentration risk: yearly capital moving through property can now exceed what households newly set aside in deposit and savings form.

This dynamic can become self-reinforcing. Expectations of rising prices create urgency to enter the market, which keeps transaction values elevated and channels even more household energy toward existing stock.

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3) The Housing Lock

Ireland's net household wealth rose dramatically from 2010 to 2025, but the composition of that wealth changed very little. Residential property remained close to two-thirds of total household net wealth throughout.

When that ratio stays broadly fixed across a long expansion, it suggests that wealth growth is not becoming meaningfully diversified. The system remains heavily exposed to one correlated asset class: local housing.

That concentration has consequences for resilience. Gains are large in upcycles, but shocks can travel widely when balance sheets are tied to the same underlying market.

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Why This Matters

The pattern is less about a single year and more about structural direction:

  • Property turnover is expanding faster than core domestic fundamentals.
  • Housing transactions are operating at or above annual household savings scale.
  • Wealth growth remains anchored in residential property concentration.

Taken together, these are signals of a housing-centric economic model with rising systemic dependence on existing bricks and mortar.

Data Sources and Notes

  • Property Price Register (PSRA / CSO), residential sales value series, 2010-2025.
  • CSO Institutional Sector Accounts: household savings, household net wealth, housing wealth.
  • CSO National Accounts: modified GNI*.
  • CSO consumer spending series.
  • 2025 values should be interpreted as latest available or preliminary estimates where official publication lag applies.
Author

Written by drdimg

Creative Technologist & Photographer building at the intersection of data, design, and digital storytelling.